Eight runners line up for the highlight race of the Irish flat season. This year’s renewal isn’t a vintage race on paper. In my opinion Roaring Lion is a banker. I have grown to love this colt over the season and admire his courage. I have no doubt he will be involved in the finish and should be too good for this lot. Saxon Warrior rates the obvious danger. However I believe he does not stay the trip and will need a slowly run race. Verbal Dexterity may reward each way punters.
I may be losing my marbles slightly but I think Birth Of Venus has a decent chance at 50/1. Having watched this horse in the flesh at Killarney twice I think I have figured him out. Birth of Venus has a habit of hitting flat spots in his races before staying on again. His last run behind Still Standing represents solid form. The step up to a mile and five and a strong gallop is what he needs. Astronomer is a non runner which makes his task a little easier. I hope the market is wrong and not me.
Sovereign Path Handicap
I have been following Band Of Outlaws since the start of the season at Naas. He has been placed a myriad of times since and managed to win a competitive handicap at the Curragh. On ratings he has only improved 3 pounds since the start of the season, which I find baffling. Shane Crosse takes 7 pounds off his back today as well. Band Of Outlaws was narrowly denied Listowel earlier this week and is in great form. The horse deserves to win a premier handicap like this and represents value at around 16/1. Despite being top weight Burnt Sugar should be involved and could drift out to double figure prices.
On big days like this the Tote Placepot is always worth a shot and can have huge payouts for small stakes. In the words of Del Boy, “He who dares wins.”
3:20 6. Gospel 12. My Laurette
3:50 8. Saracen Knight 17. Birth of Venus
4:25 4. Cosmic Horizon 8. Sydney Opera House
4:55 3. Guiseppe Garibaldi
5:25 7. Magical
6:00 7. Making Light
Stake: €1 per line= €8
6:35 Roaring Lion NAP
3:50 Birth of Venus e/w
7:10 Band Of Outlaws e/w