Badger Ales Chase Preview

5EE510DF-67A3-450B-B36D-D554C920BAC9.jpegBy Samantha

Listed, 3m1f, 1st Place- £34,170

Present Man won this Listed contest last year but conditions were a lot different as the ground was soft but this year it is likely to be on the quicker side of good due to the lack of rain in recent weeks. The Paul Nicholls runner will be partnered by Bryony Frost again but will have to carry top weight this year and is 2lbs higher than that victory. He has been well beaten on all starts since but will go on the ground and is one of the likely favourites.

El Bandit goes for the same trainer. He has won seven times from twelve runs, one over further than this so stamina won’t be an issue. He was last seen in May 2017 when making his chase debut so whether his jumping will be good enough in a field of experienced chasers is an unknown. He will go on the ground and has a good record coming off a break. Stablemate Captain Buck’s hasn’t won since landing a novice hurdle in April 2017. He was behind Aunty Ann last time out and in April was sixteen lengths behind Sam Red in a novice chase and will probably struggle the most of the three.

Nigel Twiston-Davies has two in the line up- Bigbadjohn and Belmount. The former moved to Nigel at the beginning of 2018 from Rebecca Curtis and won quite nicely first time for them. The form of that race has worked out quite well. He unseated next time out with Present Man ahead and then won nicely last time out over further beating Sumkindofking on firm going. Belmount won twice over the summer, beating Forever Field in one of those runs. He was beaten a head last time out on Tuesday and consequently is a good each way shot but this may come too soon. Forever Field has been very consistent lately and his last win came in June 2014 when he beat Black Corton in a novice chase. He didn’t seem to stay two miles seven last time out so there are queries about stamina.

Sam Red put in a really nice performance to win an amateur race at Cheltenham last time out over this trip. The horse in front ran through the artificial railings after the last but he probably would’ve won anyway and he has only gone up 4lbs for that. He has very little weight to carry and looks very good value at 16s.

Charlie Longsdon is doubly represented with Bestwork and Aunty Ann. The latter probably has the better chance as she won over course and distance last time out beating the favourite Captain Buck’s into third by one and a half lengths. That was on similar ground and she has gone up 4lbs for that but has a good claimed on board taking 7lbs off. Bestwork was pulled up last time out over this trip and I’m not fully convinced he stays this far.

On Demand and Kings Lad have both won here before. The former is yet to tackle a trip this far and goes off a 3lbs higher mark than when she won a two runner race on her penultimate start and then being second to a nice mare who has come out and ran well in a listed race since. Kings Lad was last seen in a group three on Saturday and ran a very solid race. He won before that over two miles seven and he has won over this trip before. Fingerontheswitch also ran on Saturday and won over three miles at Wetherby. He was third in this in 2016 and goes off a winnable mark.

Ramses De Teillee has ran twice over this trip and has been twice and seventh over it. His form isn’t great on good ground but he is a nice jumper. Dancing Shadow was last winning this time last year in a novices’ hurdle. He won the 2017 Edinburgh National before that over four miles so this trip won’t be an issue and he is likely to go one the ground. His last two runs have been over hurdles and he goes well fresh.

Tom George’s yard is in good form at the minute and his representative is Sumkindofking. He won really nicely on seasonal debut in October but was a two length third to Bigbadjohn and hasn’t won over a trip this far before. Allelu Allelula won very nicely by ten lengths but has had a 10lbs rise to contend with and that might unravel his good run of form.

Selections-

Sam Red and Aunty Ann (Both EW) 

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