The Classic Chase at Warwick is always a race I enjoy to watch and I am beyond excited to be able to go and watch the race live in what should be a great day out as the whole card looks a good one (previewed at the bottom of the article).
In 2018, Milansbar bolted up under Bryony Frost and fellow lady rider Gina Andrews takes over the reins this year. Since then, his best run was a ten length second to Regal Flow in the Midlands Grand National. Eversince 1995, no horse has won aged twelve so he looks up against it but he is only 6lbs higher than last years win.
Cogry was beaten eleven lengths in this race last year to finish second. He has won around this course before and he won very bravely last time out over three miles two at Cheltenham. Only one horse has won this after winning their previous outing in the last ten years so that dampens his chances. He is yet to win over three miles five but he has placed over three miles seven so he will stay. His stablemate Calett Mad runs in the double green of Simon Munir and Isaac Souede. This horse was only beaten a half length giving weight over four miles last time out and the ground was probably a bit quick for him on all his starts this season. He is only seven and looks open to improvement. Consequently, he has leading claims.
Looking ahead to the Grand National, Step Back is the shortest price of all the runners for the big Aintree showpiece at 33/1. He is very unexposed under rules and won two of his four starts last season including the grade three Bet365 Chase at Sandown in April. He ran on really well so will stay t by is trip. His reappearance at Chepstow was a bit disappointing but he should come on for that run.
Neil Mulholland has two representatives in the line-up – Carol’s Destrier and Impulsive Star. The former ended along losing run last time out but was fifth to Step Back in April so has a bit to find based on that. Impulsive Star has barely any weight to carry and will be partnered by top amateur jockey Sam Waley-Cohen. The nine year old is yet to win over fences so has a mountain to climb against more seasoned chasers. He ran quite well for a long way in the four miler at Cheltenham, where he was only beaten two and a half lengths by Ladbrokes Trophy winner Sizing Tennessee.
As the name suggests, Sizing Codelco is from the same ownership and trained by the same trainer as Sizing Tennessee. He went close last time out over three miles but hasn’t won since 2017. There are question marks surrouRACE 5- Ultragold & Calett Madnding his stamina, especially as he hasn’t been seen for 252 days. His trainer Colin Tizzard also has Ultragold. He kept on in the dying stages to be third in the Becher Chase, over his beloved Grand National fences, over three miles two and it is an unknown whether he’ll stay but if he does do, he’ll be bang there. There is a trend in this race that twelve out of the thirteen renewals were won by horses who had already won over three miles or further but it think you can ignore that with him. He represents the value in the race.
Un Temps Pour Tout has top weight in this race. The son of Robin Des Champs won the Ultima at Cheltenham and he must have had some kind of issue afterwards as he hadn’t been seen for 606 days when making his reappearance in November over hurdles when he was fifth ofRACE 2- Movie Legend – five. It is an unknown whether he will stay but he is a dual winner over three miles one.
Paul Nicholls has won this race three times and has one horse representing his stable this year. Ibis Du Rheu finally won a chase on the eighth try on his first start this season in decent style. Last time out he was second, twenty six lengths behind smart novice chaser The Worlds End. His stamina is uncertain but, if connections didn’t think he had a chance, they wouldn’t be running him.
Crosspark‘s jumping let him down in this race last year but it has seemed to have improved recently as he won his first two races of this campaign well. Uppped in class last time out, he weakned tamely and he has never won off a mark this high before so could struggle in the weights. Duel At Dawn needed his run on his reappearance over two miles six. He didn’t stay the four miles in the race of that trip at the Cheltenham Festival and has only won over three miles so I am not fully convinced he’ll stay but looks on a good mark currently and isn’t without a chance.
Chase The Spud is an old favourite but age may be creeping up with him. He was well beaten, with Milansbar in front, last time out. Before that, Fergal O’Brien’s horse was pulled up on all of his starts last season. He stays this trip as he won the Midlands National in 2017. He is still 4lbs higher than his last winning mark so will need to put in a huge performance to win. It would be brilliant to see him return to form though.
Calett Mad and Ultragold (EW)
REST OF THE CARD SELECTIONS
RACE 1- Mercer’s Troop – Open race to start the day. My selection put in a great performance to be second defying all his previous form so the wind op seems to have had the desired effect and he can go one better providing that wasn’t a fluke.
RACE 2- Movie Legend – He has ran four solid races already this season and goes off a winnable mark as the handicapper has been lenient with him and deserves to be rewarded for his consistency.
RACE 3- Ok Corral – second in the Albert Bartlett last season, he made a successful debut over fences last time out and looks to have a big future. The other three runners are very smart though.
RACE 4- Tidal Flow – Already won over this trip before, this horse battled on well to win both his hurdle starts. Leading claims. Rockpoint is his biggest rival after that horse’s impressive Cheltenham win but has a penalty to carry from that.
RACE 5- Ultragold & Calett Mad
RACE 6- First Assignment (Nap) – Won his first two really well this season and then was only beaten one and three quarter lengths by Paisley Park the subsequent grade one scorer. Gets the nod over grade two hurdles winner and top staying chaser Blaklion.
RACE 7- Millstone – Tough race to work out as they are all unraced but this horse is related to four winners, two of whom won first time out. Yard has good record in bumpers.
Keep an eye out on my twitter feed (@sam_angelina22) for trackside updates throughout the day. 🙂