Newmarket July Festival Day One Preview

By Samantha

Here’s my preview of the races on Day One of the Newmarket July Festival shown on ITV3 and the rest of the card.

Bahrain Trophy Stakes

Five of these took their chances at Royal Ascot. Barbados, Nayef Road and Nate The Great followed in Dashing Willoughby in the Queen’s Vase over one mile six. BARBADOS was beaten a half length and wasn’t the yard’s first choice in the race. He’ll handle this kind of trip and looks a smart horse for the yard who won this in 2016. Nayef Road is well-exposed by now, having ran ten times, and must be well thought of as he ran in the Dante. The step up in trip was absolutely relished last time and he will be winning over that trip at some point. Nate The Great started the season third to Derby winner Anthony Van Dyck. He weakened towards the end and he has stamina issues. Eagles By Day was sixth at Lingfield in the Derby Trial behind the aforementioned horses but ran an absolute blinder to follow in Japan. Stepping up in trip. Severence was seventh in the Lingfield Derby Trial and ran to little success in the King George V Stakes.

Waldstern followed in Nate The Great when they were third and fourth here in the Zetland Stakes. He was well beaten at Chester last time. Spanish Mission won really well on his second start but was beaten on seasonal debut and second in a Listed last time. Boerhan is having a big step up in trip but is still unexposed. Same goes for Ranch Hand who won on his first two starts but was one of a few who ran in the Lingfield Derby Trail coming fifth.

Tattersalls July Stakes

I’m going to begin with PLATINUM STAR as I was very taken when I saw him win at Leicester on his second start by a comfortable margin. He was beaten on career debut by the extremely talented Pinatubo so that’s good form. He had to come from the back last time at Royal Ascot in the Windsor Castle but ended up second. He’s about 15/2 and could be a bit of value. His big rival is Visinari. The Dark Angel colt won by three and a half lengths over course and distance. He’ll take a lot of beating as he’s still open to improvement. King Neptune is preferred to Royal Lytham based on jockey bookings and the former was sixth in the Norfolk and previous second to Siskin. Royal Lytham was good on debut and was then seventh in the Coventry. Both need to step up.

Classy Moon is having his second start after winning on debut after falling out of the stalls, giving himself lots to do. He skipped away from them in the end and looks smart. Guildsman won incredibly well on debut by six lengths and there was a bit of talk about him going into Royal Ascot where he came third in the Coventry. That was a very good run. Hurstwood has already won twice and is a nice horse but 28/1 tells of his chances. Dogged is making his debut. He was bought for 60,000gns but he would have to be very special to win this.

Bet365 Handicap

Moss Gill has won his last two by a combined seven lengths and has a feather weight to carry. He’s well bred and should go well. Philipine Cobra has bottom weight and has been running so consistently all season so far. She completed a double in June and was beaten just over a length in third last time at this course with some of today’s runners. Street Parade was second and Alfie Solomons in fourth, who before that run was two lengths behind Moss Gill. STREET PARADE won on seasonal debut, with Top Breeze in behind, and then he was thought good enough to run in the Listed Scurry Stakes. He wasn’t quite up to that and I think he should go well today. Top Breeze has 8st11 compared to Street Parade’s 9st6. The former won his first two starts of this year then ran in a similar contest to this when fifth on soft ground.

Dazzling Dan beat Kinks in May but could only manage sixth last time. Gabriel The Wire has won two of his three starts this campaign and has won both very takingly. Overpriced at 14/1. Magical Wish has threatened to win on his recent two starts but will need to step up. Aplomb and Princess Power both need to improve after class four wins last time. Rathbone won two races recently and was eighth last time in a competitive race last time at York, behind Magical Wish and Dazzling Dan and ahead of Blown By Wind and Barbill.

Princess Of Wales’ Tattersalls Stakes

Two Royal Ascot winners line up here – Baghdad and Dashing Willoughby. The former is favoured in the betting. He won the Duke Of Edinburgh, spoiling the Frankie Dettori party. He’s stepping up in class but will be able to hold his own. Dashing Willoughby was third to the smart Sir Dragonet and then relished the one mile six furlong trip to land the Queens Vase. Its interesting he’s dropping back in trip but 16/1 is tremendous value. MASAR won the 2018 Derby but was off since dealing with an injury. He was fifth in the Hardwicke on reappearance and will come on for that. He’s ridiculously good horse but there hasn’t been much of a hype leading up to this. Mirage Dancer was third in the latter contest and had previously ran very well to win at Goodwood. He went close in this twelve months ago. Communique ran away with a group two on the other course at Newmarket but he shouldn’t get away with it this time. Desert Encounter has been badly out of form this season but is good on his day.

R5- Led Astray – Brought for 175,000gns, related to a huge 9 winners.

R6- Turgnev – close second at Royal Ascot, hit the front too early that day.

R7- Wings Of Time – won well in February and then just failed to hold off a shorter priced horse.

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