Haydock Preview 9/6/18

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Betway Middle Distance Handicap

Last weekend’s Derby winning team of Charlie Appleby, William Buick and Godolphin have Night Story in this and he’s the only distance winner in the line up. He was a decent second on debut then that win came on the All-Weather but he disappointed on turf debut. Sea Younzaim won last time out and goes for in form Silvestre De Sousa. She has been third over a mile and a half so shouldn’t have a problem with the trip. The Sea The Stars filly won her handicap debut last time out at Nottingham and, if replicating that, she can go close. Morning Skye won on debut on the All-Weather and has since struggled to do the same on turf. He has ran on most types of ground and placed better when on softer ground. He has been well beaten since his win and may struggle to win this. Jack Regan struggled to win but finally got off the mark on the seventh time of asking on his second start for Ian Williams. Since then, he has come third in this grade and was only beaten one and a half lengths on that occasion. Ian Williams is good at improving horses that come into his yard from elsewhere so he has a chance based on that improved effort from last time out. STAR OF SOUTHWOLD is the highest rated and won his second start, over one mile two furlongs at Newmarket in April. The second horse was a next time out winner but Richard Hannon’s charge couldn’t replicate that effort next time out in the Derby Trial at Lingfield. He was fifth in that race and the fact that he was in that race suggests that he is held in high regard and he has a drop in class that can help him in this race. Podemos is still a maiden but has come close on a few occasions including last time out when he was beaten half a length by an odds-on shot at Chepstow.

Betway Pinnacle Stakes

GOD GIVEN is the only course and distance winner in the field. She was looking for a four timer at the back end of last season but was sixth in a Group One at Chantilly behind last year’s winner Bateel. She is rated 105 and ran a decent race last time out when the only filly in the line up to finish fourth behind Barsanti in a Listed race at Ascot when she was very keen. Richard Kingscote rode last year’s winner Bateel and partners Titi Makfi. She has ran in some good races this season but hasn’t won. Mark Johnston’s filly was third in a Fillies’s Listed race behind Euro Nightmare last time out and, in November, she won her last start as a three year old, a Listed race on the All Weather as, nicely. Cribbs Causeway was third on her seasonal reappearance and her only wins have come in handicaps. She contested a Listed and Group Three company. Last time out, she was behind Precious Remotswe and two places ahead of Mam’selle. She may struggle to win in this grade but is likely to finish ahead of Mam’selle again. She is one of William Haggas’ two runners in the line up. The aforementioned seems the preferred runner by the team as James Doyle is booked to ride. Both are distance winners but Mam’selle is rated 5lbs higher. She has run twice this season and her best results came first time out when she was third behind Isabel Du Urbina and Titi Makfi in a Listed race at Goodwood. What A Home, his other runner, was fancied in that race and was favourite but could only manage seventh. She has won twice and had a reasonably successful three year old season but she may not be able to win in this company. Euro Nightmare won last time out in the Rothesay Stakes and, in doing so, beat Titi Makfi. She deserves her chance to step up to a higher grade. Fosun is coming over from Germany to run here. She’s the oldest runner and won a Listed race last time out at Hannover. It is hard to know how good she is in comparison to these fillies. Melinoe is a model of consistency and was third last time out in a lower grade race so might struggle. Crimson Rossette won last time out in a lower grade and may struggle in this.

Betway Archilles Stakes

Final Venture won this race last year but hasn’t won since. He is 9lbs lower than then and has been returning to form as he was just over half a length behind Mr Lupton in third at York over this trip last time out. Judicial has been third over course and distance and he is one of the more fancied runners as he was second in a Group Three last time out behind Mabs Cross at Newmarket. Alpha Delphini was third, Equimou was fourth and Encore D’or was sixth. Most of Encore D’or’s wins have come on an artificial surface and prefers it when the ground is soft so that may play against him. Alpha Delphihi is joint highest rated with Judicial. The former is getting on a bit but has been running well recently. He was third last time out in a Group Three as I previously mentioned and was second before that beating Blue De Vega. He definitely has a shot at as he enjoys the trip and going. Blue De Vega hasn’t won since 2015 in a seven furlong race. He has been close at this trip but I’m not convinced he flourishes at this trip. MUTHMIR is highest rated and he is very speedy. He won a Group Two over four furlongs at Longchamp around this time last year. He was fifth over course and distance behind Battaash, who is from the same ownership, in a Group Two. Duke Of Firenze is the oldest runner in the line up. He is a multiple five furlong winner and has form on every type of ground. The other three look out of it.

dutch connection

Betway John Of Gaunt Stakes

Emmaus and Lahore contested a Listed race at Leicester on heavy ground in April. Emmaus won and was a long way ahead of Lahore. The winner stands a chance here but may have an issue with the ground. Even so, he deserves the opportunity to step up in company and Roger Varian is extremely good with his older horses. He is unbeaten in the UK but got beaten in France in a Listed race. DUTCH CONNECTION’s recent form hasn’t been fabulous but made an encouraging seasonal debut when coming fourth in a Group One at Newbury after pullling up on his last start last year. Realisticaly, he should take this as he is a multiple winner in this grade and higher. Godolphin also has D’bai. He won over this trip over in Meydan in January. He is versatile and runs well on most grounds. He has a good chance but his stable companion is preferred. Tabarrak won last time out over course and distance and will love the conditions. Muntadab is also a course and distance winner but he seems out of his depth at Group level. Mr Owen has only won in France and you have to go back to 2015 to find his last win on turf. He should’ve won the Lingfield Winter Derby but ended up demoted after impeding Master The World up the run-in. He will probably struggle to figure in this. Larchmont Lad is a Group Three winner at two but hasn’t really transferred that to his career afterwards.

Betway Dash Handicap

This looks a competitive renewal and SUMMERGHAND is the only last time out winner. He won a handicap over this trip at Doncaster and was put up 6lbs for that. He is on a career high mark and has a step up in grade. He is one of four four year olds in the lineup. The other three are Mostahel, Open Wide and Pennsylvania Dutch. Mostahel is making his seasonal debut for Richard Hannon. He has ran five times and won one of those starts, a Class 5 maiden over five furlongs. He was well beaten last time out and may be on a too high mark to take this. Open Wide won in this class over five furlongs at Bath in July. He disappointed last time out but that was on good to soft and he performs better the harder the ground so has a chance on that after some solid placed efforts over this trip on good to firm ground. Pennsylvania Dutch won his first two starts over track and trip on two types of ground but has struggled since. He is back on his last winning mark and won on this card last year. He will have to reverse the running with Summerghand, who beat him into seventh last time out at Doncaster by just over three lengths. Pipers Note’s last win came around this time last year in a similar race and he is three pounds lower than then. Misty Birnam is an interesting runner. He has only ran twice in Britain and Ireland and came third in a Group One in his native South Africa. He was last on both of his two starts for Fozzy Stack and has since moved to Ian Williams and is having his first run for him in this so it is hard to know how he will run. Powerallied has been second on both starts this year and his run last time out was improved by the winner winning at Epsom on Saturday. He is yet to win over six furlongs and has been found one paced on all of his starts over that distance. Calder Prince won first time out this season on the All-Weather. He has been running over further without winning since and will prefer the step back in trip. Reputation and Mickey also have a shot.

Betway Sprint Handicap

Dragon Moon and May Symphonic are the two least exposed runners. Of the two, Dragon Moon is the only winner. He won his second start but it was on the All-Weather and he has been unplaced on his two starts on turf so that isn’t encouraging. May Symbolic’s best run was last time out over seven furlongs when she was second and led the whole way and just got tired in the end. She may not like the going and the trip may be on the short side for her as her dam and half siblings all ran over further. Last Page broke his maiden at the eighth try on the All-Weather at Wolverhampton. He disappointed last time out but couldn’t get a clear lead so was having a battle all the way. He could bounce back from that but I like CHOICE ENCOUNTER. He is ultra consistent and he has been running brilliantly on the All-Weather recently. He ran well on turf as a two year old and can transfer his from back onto it. Breaking Records got headed close home last time out but the first two were twenty two lengths ahead of the third. That was on good to soft and he is yet to tackle firm going. It will be between him and my selection. Becker and Bahuta Acha both look as if they would prefer it if this race was over five furlongs but the former ran creditably last time out when hampered whilst staying on so he is just the preferred of the two. Lord Of The Glen hasn’t got a very good record on turf and Equitant may struggle.

Betway Handicap

Knowing Glance is the only last time out winner in the line up after breaking his maiden at Carlisle. That was over six and he goes back up to seven today, a distance that he has come third at twice. Highlight Reel was fancied in the Silver Bowl here but really struggled. He made some headway towards the finish and will prefer this race and the way it will be ran. Armed Response ended last season with a double on the All-Weather. He tried to make all on his seasonal reappearance but couldn’t manage it and ended up fifth. AL BARG won over this trip and on this ground at Doncaster n his penultimate start and had Lethal Lunch behind on that occasion. The Al Shaqab horse is a big price but he may be the value in the race despite a below par effort last time out. The horse he beat, Lethal Lunch, may struggle with the seven furlong trip as he doesn’t seem to like it. Aquarium has won twice on the All-Weather but hasn’t transferred that onto turf. Fille De Reve’s win came on the All-Weather and runs best on there. No I’m Easy didn’t impress on his first start over seven furlongs.

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