Northumberland Plate Guide

B63A7618-0E1E-4A30-97DC-2C351BB358FE

By Samantha

Here is your runner by runner guide for the Northumberland Plate.

1.Higher Power
(James Fanshawe and Tom Queally)

👍He won this last year off 107 and he is only 1lbs higher than this time last year and could return to winning ways.
👎He has struggled to win since and has been down the field on all bar one of his races when he was third last time out.

2.Time To Study
(Mark Johnston and PJ McDonald)

👍He has a decent strike rate on the All-Weather by winning one of his two starts on this surface. He is very consistent at this level.
👎Has been down the field on all of his starts around two miles so probably won’t stay.

3.Nakeeta
(Ian Jardine and Callum Rodriguez)

👍Ebor winner two years ago, he then went to the Melbourne Cup and finished a good fifth over the two mile trip so will stay.
👎 He’s never won off a mark this high before and he was tenth in the 2016 renewal of this race but did run into trouble in running.

4.Prince Of Arran
(Charlie Fellowes and Adam McNamara)

👍Winner over two miles in Dubai over the winter. Multiple winner on the All-Weather, he has a decent shot at a big price.
👎His last winning mark in the UK was 83 and he is now on 107.

5.Watersmeet
(Mark Johnston and Joe Fanning)

👍Incredibly consistent on the All-Weather surfaces. Winner over two miles at Wolverhampton, he will enjoy this trip. Possible each way contender.
👎He was thirty first in last year’s Cesarewitch behind Withhold, Lagostovegas, Byron Flyer and Time To Study.

6.On To Victory
(Eve Johnston-Houghton and Charlie Bishop)

👍He has won over one mile six beating Prince Of Arran. He was third in a Listed race last time out beating Clever Cookie, Soldier In Action and Higher Power.
👎Yet to tackle two miles and could possibly stay.

7.Top Tug
(Alan King and Graham Lee)

👍He has never won on the flat over two miles before but has over jumps. He has form figures of 121 on the All-Weather.
👎Has the widest draw and was fifth last time out behind Sir Chauvelin.

8.Lord George
(James Fanshawe and Daniel Muscutt)

👍Fourth in this race last year and then followed that up with a win at Kempton over one mile seven.
👎9lbs higher than this time last year and his last winning mark.

9.Arch Villain
(Amanda Perrett and Paul Mulrennan)

👍winner over this trip, making his seasonal debut.
👎Beaten in this race in 2013 and 2016 and his last win came in 2016 but he has only ran twice since.

10.Clever Cookie
(Peter Niven and David Allan)

👍Distance winner and has been running in lots of the big staying handicaps recently.
👎Getting on a bit now and was ninth in this last year.

11.Curbyourenthusiasm
(David Simcock and Oisin Murphy)

👍Has plenty of ability in this grade and has placed over this trip before.
👎Doesn’t win often.

12.Natural Scenery
(Saheed Bin Suroor and Paul Hanagan)

👍This mare was second in this race last year a half length behind Higher Power but this year she is on more favourable terms. Her last wins came in February 2017 over course and distance but has seemed a bit high in the weights since.
👎5th behind Prince Of Arran over in Dubai this winter but then reversed that form in a Group Three next time out. In the Group Two Dubai Gold Cup, this filly was three quarters of a length behind the aforementioned horse.

13.Solider In Action
(Mark Johnston and Jack Mitchell)

👍Winner over two miles when he had a brief spell jumping with Nicky Henderson and has won on the All-Weather in November.
👎Hasn’t been running to his best this year.

14.Island Brave
(H Main and Ben Curtis)

👍Four from four on All-Weather surfaces.
👎Yet to tackle this trip but won a few times over a mile and a half.

15.Withhold
(Roger Charlton and Robert Winston)

👍This gelding won the Cesarewitch last year but hasn’t ran since.
👎 Connections haven’t been extremely convincing of his chances in this. It is reported that he hasn’t had the best preparation so it may be worth looking elsewhere in this.

16.Byron Flyer
(Ian Williams and Fran Berry)

👍Winner over jumps over two miles and a half so will stay and is also a winner on the All-Weather. His trainer always has his horses primed for the big handicaps.
👎Below par last time out at Newmarket in behind Amazing Red.

17.Lagostovegas
(Willie Mullins and Leigh Roche)

👍This filly showed an incredible change of gear last time out in the Ascot Stakes to win over further and she looks as if she will suit the All-Weather even though she has never ran on it before.
👎She has a 5lbs penalty for winning at Ascot and is making a relatively quick turnaround from then but Willie Mullins will have her in good form.

18.Amazing Red
(Ed Dunlop and Jim Crowley)

👍Winner over one mile six and seven furlongs so will stay this trip and always runs well on the All-Weather.
👎He is penalised for winning over one mile six furlongs last time out at Newmarket.

19.Sir Chauvelin
(Jim Goldie and Danny Tudhope)

👍Defied big odds to come second in the Duke Of Edinburgh. Winner over one mile seven over jumps.
👎Six in this race last year and has been down the field on all of his starts over two miles.

20.Cayrili
(Seamus Durack and Shane Kelly)

👍Winner over one mile seven in a handicap in April, he beat Curbyourenthusiasm by two lengths on that occasion.
👎Well beaten in the Chester Cup last time out.

My Verdict

This race looks a very interesting one and it is extremely competitive. The favourite over the past few days has been Roger Charlton’s Withhold,who won the Cesarewitch, but connections haven’t exactly been singing from the rooftops about his chances so I think he will get beaten. LAGOSTOVEGAS showed a brilliant turn of foot at Ascot and she has a nice weight and draw. Watersmeet could be and each way contender as he is a very good All-Weather performer. Natural Scenery could be a danger.

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